Statistics 134. Concepts of Probability.

Fall 2016 Lec-1, MWF 1-2pm in 10 Evans Hall.

BASIC INFORMATION. (## = berkeley dot edu)
Please include "STAT134" and your SID in the subject line of all emails.
Instructor:
-- Nike Sun (nikesun at ##) office hours Mon 11:30a-12:30p / Wed 9-10a at the SLC.
GSIs:
-- Sourav Sarkar (souravs at ##) office hours Mon 5-6p, Tues 11a-12n in 444 Evans.
-- Yanqiao Wang (yanqiao at ##) office hours Mon/Wed 8-9a in 116 McLaughlin Hall.
-- Yumeng Zhang (ymzhang at ##) office hours Wed 10a-12n in 446 Evans.
Course materials: Lecture notes, homework solutions, and Stat 198 materials will all be posted to bcourses. If you cannot access the site, email the instructor with your @berkeley.edu address.

DESCRIPTION. An introduction to probability, emphasizing concepts and applications. The content and organization of this course will be very similar to previous versions taught at Berkeley. To have an idea of what the course will be like, see these archived course pages: S16, S15, F15, F15, F12, F06.

PREREQUISITES. At least one year of calculus is required. In addition, you should be able to very easily solve Prof. Adhikari's prerequisite exercises. If you have any difficulty with these exercises, you should discuss this with the instructor after class or in office hours.

TEXTBOOK. Probability by Jim Pitman (Springer New York, 1993). Available for Berkeley students as a pdf document. This book will be the primary reference for the class. You will be expected to read the relevant sections before doing your homework. To get started, see Prof. Adhikari's reading guide for this book, as well as her FAQ for the course.

RESOURCES. Mike Leong at the Student Learning Center (SLC) teaches STAT 198, an adjunct course to STAT 134, MWF 2-3 at 20 Barrows Hall. Also check the SLC's STAT 134 website for study group times, drop-in times, and other services such as exam reviews. You are strongly encouraged to enroll in STAT 198 simultaneously to STAT 134, and to make full use of the other services offered at the SLC.

HOMEWORK AND PRACTICE.
There are three types of problems listed in the schedule below (scroll down):
-- (not graded) minimal practice problems,
-- (not graded) recommended problems, and
-- (graded) homework problems, due in section on the date indicated in the schedule below.
x.y.n means Problem n in the Exercises at the end of Section x.y;
x.R.n means Problem n in the Review Exercises at the end of Chapter x.
The minimal practice / recommended problems are not to be turned in. Instead, the quiz problems will be very similar to these problems.
Submission deadlines. You must attend the section in which you are enrolled, and submit your homework to the GSI before the end of that section. Wait-listed students should also attend a section and submit homework there. All students will be graded under the same scheme, regardless of late enrollment.
Format. Please be considerate of your graders: write solutions neatly, and staple.
At the top of the first page, write clearly the following information:
-- your name, student ID number, and Berkeley email address,
-- STAT 134, FALL 2016, LEC 1,
-- your GSI's name, and the time of your discussion section (or indicate that you are waitlisted),
-- the names of any other students with whom you discussed the assignment.
Collaboration policy. You should first attempt to solve homework problems on your own. If you are having trouble, it is permitted to discuss with other students. You are expected to write down your solutions alone. Copying solutions violates the Berkeley honor code; and will only serve you poorly on exams.
Grading scheme. Each homework assignment will consist of 8 problems. A good attempt at 6 or more problems will receive the score of 1, anything else will receive a 0. Course staff get to define "good attempt". We will be looking for correct reasoning and detailed work shown -- reasoning and work are expected regardless of whether the problem explicitly asks for it.

TESTS. All tests will be closed book and closed notes. No calculators or other devices.
(in section) Quiz 1 covering Chapter 1: Thursday September 8.
(in section) Quiz 2 covering Chapter 2: Thursday September 22.
(in lecture) Midterm covering Chapters 1-3: Friday October 7.
(in section) Quiz 3 covering Chapter 4: Thursday November 3.
(in section) Quiz 4 covering Chapter 5: Thursday November 17.
(2050 Valley Life Sciences Building) final exam: Wednesday December 14, 7-10pm.
Chapters 1-6 comprehensive (with more emphasis on Chapters 4-6).

GRADING. Your final grade will be the maximum of the following two combinations:
-- 10% homework, 15% quizzes, 30% midterm, 45% final,
-- 10% homework, 15% quizzes, 75% final.
No late homework will be accepted. Lowest two homework scores will be dropped.
No rescheduling (early/late/repeat) for any tests. Lowest quiz score will be dropped.
You cannot take this class if you have a conflicting final.


TENTATIVE SCHEDULE.
Classes begin on Wednesday 08/24. No lecture/section on 09/05, 11/11, 11/23--11/25 (university holidays).

  • Week 1: 08/24, 08/26.
    Lectures: 1.1 to 1.5.
    (No lecture on Mon. Sections and office hours begin in week 2.)

  • Week 2: 08/29, 08/31, 09/02.
    Lectures: 1.6, 2.1, 2.2.
    Minimal practice: 1.1.7, 1.3.3, 1.3.5, 1.3.7, 1.4.3, 1.4.5, 1.5.1, 1.5.5, 1.6.1, 1.6.5, 1.6.7, 1.R.7.
    Recommended: 1.1.8, 1.3.6, 1.3.10, 1.3.11, 1.3.12, 1.6.8, 1.R.11, 1.R.15, 1.R.19, 1.R.14, 1.R.12, 1.R.16.
    Homework 1 due Tues 08/30: 1.3.13, 1.4.6, 1.4.10, 1.5.2, 1.5.4, 1.5.6, 1.6.6, 1.R.8.

  • Week 3: 09/07, 09/09.
    Lectures: 2.4, 2.5.
    (No lecture or office hours on Mon. Office hours Wed. 09/07, 10:30a-12:30p at the SLC.)
    Minimal practice: 2.1.1, 2.1.3, 2.1.5.
    Recommended: 2.1.2, 2.1.7, 2.1.11, 2.R.8, 2.2.2, 2.2.3, 2.2.4, 2.2.8, 2.2.12.
    Homework 2 due Thurs 09/08: 2.1.4, 2.1.6, 2.1.8, 2.1.12, 2.2.6, 2.2.10, 2.2.14, 2.R.24.
    Thurs 09/08: Quiz 1 covering Chapter 1.

  • Week 4: 09/12, 09/14, 09/16.
    Lectures: 3.1, 3.2.
    (Check updated office hours.)
    Minimal practice: 2.4.1a 2.4.1d, 2.5.1, 2.5.7, 2.R.15, 3.1.3, 3.1.9, 3.1.15.
    Recommended: 2.4.2, 2.4.9, 2.5.2, 2.5.3, 2.5.4, 2.5.5, 2.5.9, 2.5.13, 2.5.12, 2.R.10, 2.R.12, 2.R.14, 2.R.16, 2.R.18, 2.R.22, 2.R.28, 3.1.2, 3.1.10, 3.1.13.
    Homework 3 due Thurs 09/15: 2.4.6, 2.4.8, 2.5.6, 2.5.8, 2.5.12, 3.1.8, 3.1.12, 3.1.14.

  • Week 5: 09/19, 09/21, 09/23.
    Lectures: 3.3, 3.4.
    Minimal practice: 3.2.1, 3.2.3, 3.2.5, 3.2.7, 3.2.11.
    Recommended: 3.2.9, 3.2.13, 3.2.17, 3.R.8, 3.R.10, 3.2.19, 3.R.26.
    Homework 4 due Thurs 09/22: 3.2.4, 3.2.6, 3.2.14, 3.2.16, 3.2.20, 3.3.12, 3.3.16.
    Thurs 09/22: Quiz 2 covering Chapter 2.

  • Week 6: 09/26, 09/28, 09/30.
    Lectures: 3.5, 3.6.
    Minimal practice: 3.3.1, 3.3.3, 3.3.13, 3.3.19, 3.4.1, 3.4.3, 3.4.5, 3.R.15.
    Recommended: 3.3.5, 3.3.7, 3.3.9, 3.3.15, 3.3.23, 3.4.2, 3.4.11, 3.6.5, 3.6.6, 3.6.9, 3.R.2, 3.R.26.
    Homework 5 due Thurs 09/29: 3.4.10, 3.4.12, 3.4.14, 3.5.4, 3.5.10, 3.5.12, 3.6.2, 3.6.8.

  • Week 7: 10/03, 10/05, 10/07.
    Lectures: 2.3, review.
    Minimal practice: 3.5.1, 3.5.5, 3.5.11, 3.6.1, 3.6.7.
    Recommended: 3.5.2, 3.5.7, 3.5.9.
    No homework due this week.
    Fri 10/07: Midterm covering Chapters 1-3.

  • Week 8: 10/10, 10/12, 10/14.
    Lectures: 4.1, 4.2.
    Minimal practice: 4.1.1, 4.1.3, 4.1.9, 4.2.1, 4.2.5, 4.R.3, 4.R.13.
    Recommended: 4.1.2, 4.1.5, 4.1.10, 4.1.11, 4.2.6, 4.R.4, 4.R.12.
    No homework due this week.

  • Week 9: 10/17, 10/19, 10/21.
    Lectures: 4.2, 4.4.
    Minimal practice: 4.4.1, 4.4.3, 4.4.7.
    Recommended: 4.4.4, 4.4.5.
    Homework 6 due Thurs 10/20: 4.1.4, 4.1.7, 4.1.8, 4.1.12, 4.2.4, 4.2.8, 4.R.2, 4.R.14.

  • Week 10: 10/24, 10/26, 10/28.
    4.5, 4.6.
    Minimal practice: 4.5.3, 4.5.5, 4.6.1, 4.6.5, 4.R.5, 4.R.11, 4.R.18, 4.R.21.
    Recommended: 4.6.3, 4.R.22, 4.R.23.
    Homework 7 due Thurs 10/27: 4.4.2, 4.4.6, 4.4.10, 4.5.2, 4.5.6, 4.6.2, 4.R.6, 4.R.16.

  • Week 11: 10/31, 11/02, 11/04.
    Lectures: 5.1, 5.2, 5.3.
    Minimal practice: 5.1.1, 5.1.7, 5.2.1, 5.2.3, 5.2.5, 5.2.11.
    Recommended: 5.1.2, 5.1.3, 5.2.4, 5.2.9, 5.2.10, 5.2.13.
    No homework due this week.
    Thurs 11/03: Quiz 3 covering Chapter 4.

  • Week 12: 11/07, 11/09.
    Lectures: 5.3, 5.4.
    (No lecture on Fri.)
    Minimal practice: 5.1.4, 5.2.6, 5.2.8, 5.3.1, 5.3.3, 5.3.7, 5.3.9, 5.3.11, 5.4.1, 5.4.3.
    Recommended: 5.3.1, 5.3.4, 5.4.4, 5.4.5, 5.4.13, 5.R.2, 5.R.5.
    Homework 8 due Thurs 11/10: 5.1.6, 5.1.9, 5.2.12, 5.2.14, 5.2.16, 5.3.6, 5.3.8, 5.3.12.

  • Week 13: 11/14, 11/16, 11/18.
    Lectures: 6.1, 6.2, 6.3.
    Minimal practice: 6.1.1, 6.1.3, 6.1.5.
    No homework due this week.
    Thurs 11/17: Quiz 4 covering Chapter 5.

  • Week 14: 11/21.
    Lectures: 6.4.
    (No lecture on Wed/Fri, no section on Thurs.)
    Minimal practice: 6.2.1, 6.2.3, 6.2.7, 6.2.11, 6.3.1.
    Recommended: 6.3.4, 6.3.7, 6.3.10, 6.3.12, 6.R.21.
    Homework 9 due Tues 11/22: 6.1.2, 6.1.4, 6.2.2, 6.2.4, 6.2.10, 6.3.2, 6.3.4, 6.3.8.

  • Week 15: 11/28, 11/30.
    Lectures: 6.5, review.
    Minimal practice: 6.4.3, 6.4.5, 6.4.9, 6.4.11, 6.4.19, 6.4.21, 6.5.1.
    Recommended: 6.4.22, 6.5.2, 6.5.5, 6.5.6.
    Homework 10 due Thurs 12/01: 6.4.4, 6.4.8, 6.4.10, 6.5.2, 6.5.3, 6.5.4, 6.5.6, 6.5.12.

  • RRR Week: 12/05, 12/07.
    Lectures: review.
    (No lecture on Fri, no section on Thurs. Office hours as usual, plus Fri 12/09 9-12 at SLC.)